At this level of discourse, one should gauge market reaction rather than speculate on the direction

Over the past couple of days, a rumour has been circulating in the market that Trump will deliver a national address at 10am on Thursday. Such prime-time speeches are typically market sentiment events, especially during periods of macroeconomic sensitivity, and often amplify volatility in the cryptocurrency sphere.

Several key points are worth noting, which you may wish to save so that fellow traders who haven't been able to follow overseas news can also access first-hand information and capitalise on market opportunities.

First point ⬇️

Multiple mainstream media outlets have confirmed: Trump has announced he will address the nation from the White House at 10am EST on Thursday. This corresponds to approximately 10pm Beijing time. He has not yet disclosed the speech's theme! CBS cites the White House Press Secretary stating the address is expected to review achievements since taking office and preview policy directions for the coming years or new year.

Second Point⬇️

Such addresses typically impact the cryptocurrency sphere not by mentioning specific coins, but by influencing risk appetite. Markets are most concerned with several other categories:

Trade/Tariffs: Any harsher or softer rhetoric will affect the US dollar and risk asset sentiment (cryptocurrency markets often follow suit).

Fiscal/Taxation/Government Spending: More expansionary fiscal policy → potentially stronger risk appetite; more contractionary → greater capital caution.

Regulatory Stance: Discussions on financial oversight, market order, or enforcement intensity may trigger short-term volatility expectations.

Geopolitical & Security Issues: Significant external events typically prompt initial risk-averse market reactions.

What many overlook is that the crypto sphere fears not the statements themselves, but the US dollar interest rate expectations and associated risk repricing they provoke.

Third Point ⬇️

Two common market trajectories emerge, though fleeting developments render these merely indicative:

1. Following sentiment recovery, risk assets may undergo a period of emotional correction, particularly altcoins. However, caution is warranted if prices have already surged prematurely, as sharp pullbacks may ensue.

2. Short-term capital tends to exit first, triggering more pronounced stop-loss liquidations and amplified volatility. Altcoins typically experience heavier bleeding than Bitcoin or Ethereum.

Fourth Point ⬇️

Many ask how to proceed. First, recognise the risks before blindly calling directions. I typically treat this as an event risk window: avoid high-leverage directional bets around the speech. Instead, focus on two key observations:

Whether BTC holds its critical range, and whether altcoins exhibit synchronised volume-driven declines or rallies. Only then can one determine if this is structural volatility or a broader shift in risk appetite.

True opportunities rarely lie in the first minute, but rather in the period after the speech when the market completes its pricing.